Array of publications on rehabilitation: analysis of international high-rated databases

Abstract

For the effective development of the social state, it is necessary to take measures to improve the quality and life expectancy of citizens on the basis of improving health-saving technologies, which requires proper scientific support. The purpose of the work is a retrospective and prognostic study of the Russian publication scientific stream on rehabilitation and scientometric indicators for a reliable assessment of its dynamics. A high (third) place of Russia in the international publication rating from 53 countries in 1991 under the «Rehabilitation» subsection in the Web of Science database was revealed, which was replaced by a substantial, fourfold, downgrade in subsequent years, and an increase in the array of publications in this field of knowledge in the last 5 years, which, however, did not lead the country to the number of leaders. The growth of the national publication stream in 2018 to the 20th place among 100 countries in the Web of Science database and the 15th place among 152 in Scopus is associated with the results of the implementation of government measures. It is proved that the share of scientists in the global array of publications registered in highranking databases is a more objective indicator of publication activity than their country’s place in the ranking. Improving the quality of scientific support for the development of rehabilitation technologies in the context of an increasing proportion of elderly and senile people, growth of diseases with a long life span, increasing demands on the level of self-care and mutual care of the population due to urbanization and small families will contribute to the formation of a socially stable society and increase national security of Russia. A prognostic model is proposed for changing the volume of Russian publications on rehabilitation, according to which the 1991 level in the Scopus database is expected in 2020, and in the Web of Science — only in 2028.