Abstract

BackgroundResearch has long found ‘J-shaped’ relationships between alcohol consumption and certain health outcomes, indicating a protective effect of moderate consumption. However, methodological limitations in most studies hinder causal inference. This review aimed to identify all observational studies employing improved approaches to mitigate confounding in characterizing alcohol–long-term health relationships, and to qualitatively synthesize their findings.MethodsEligible studies met the above description, were longitudinal (with pre-defined exceptions), discretized alcohol consumption, and were conducted with human populations. MEDLINE, PsycINFO, Embase and SCOPUS were searched in May 2020, yielding 16 published manuscripts reporting on cancer, diabetes, dementia, mental health, cardiovascular health, mortality, HIV seroconversion, and musculoskeletal health. Risk of bias of cohort studies was evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, and a recently developed tool was used for Mendelian Randomization studies.ResultsA variety of functional forms were found, including reverse J/J-shaped relationships for prostate cancer and related mortality, dementia risk, mental health, and certain lipids. However, most outcomes were only evaluated by a single study, and few studies provided information on the role of alcohol consumption pattern.ConclusionsMore research employing enhanced causal inference methods is urgently required to accurately characterize alcohol–long-term health relationships. Those studies that have been conducted find a variety of linear and non-linear functional forms, with results tending to be discrepant even within specific health outcomes.Trial registrationPROSPERO registration number CRD42020185861.

Highlights

  • Research has long found ‘J-shaped’ relationships between alcohol consumption and certain health outcomes, indicating a protective effect of moderate consumption

  • Characteristics of included studies Sixteen articles met inclusion criteria, comprising four Mendelian Randomization (MR) studies, nine twin designs, and three prospective cohort studies employing Marginal structural model (MSM), reporting on health outcomes broadly related to cancer, diabetes, dementia, mental health, cardiovascular health, mortality, HIV, and musculoskeletal health

  • Cancer One twin study reported on two prostate cancer outcomes, prostate cancer and prostate cancer mortality, and results were consistent with reverse J- and J-shaped relationships, respectively, with light drinking at the nadir [43]

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Summary

Introduction

Research has long found ‘J-shaped’ relationships between alcohol consumption and certain health outcomes, indicating a protective effect of moderate consumption. While the contribution of heavy alcohol consumption to the burden of disease is well-known [1], findings that moderate alcohol consumption is associated with health benefits for a wide range of outcomes persist. This relationship is often characterized as ‘J-shaped’, where. Findings are inconsistent, and many functional forms have been reported for alcohol–long-term health relationships (see Fig. 1 for exemplar forms). Which of the myriad reported functional forms reflect true causal relationships, and which are merely methodological artefacts, remains unclear

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