Abstract

Americans on the political left and right are engaged in a Culture War with one another, one that is often characterized by mutual fear, antipathy, and avoidance. Are there safe havens from the socially straining effects of this Culture War, times and places where Americans of different political stripes gather and put aside their political differences? Previous research (Chen & Rohla, 2018) implied that there might not be insofar as even intimate family gatherings seem to be subject to Culture War tensions. They found that politically diverse Thanksgiving Dinners were 35–70 minutes shorter than politically uniform ones, representing a 14–27% reduction in overall dinner duration. Noting analytical and methodological limitations in the prior analysis, we conducted two pre-registered studies to test whether diverse dinners are shorter than uniform ones and to attempt to conceptually replicate and extend this prior analysis. Individual analyses yielded mixed results, with null models generally supported but effect estimates generally overlapping with those of Chen and Rohla (2018). A mega-analysis found that, when controlling for various covariates, politically diverse dinners were 24 minutes shorter than politically uniform ones, 95% confidence interval = [9, 39], representing a 6% decrease in the total dinner time [2%-10%]. This final result successfully replicates Chen and Rohla (2018) both in terms of effect overlap and direct-and-significance criteria while nonetheless favoring the conclusion that politics is not straining family ties as much as previously thought.

Highlights

  • The United States is in the midst of a Culture War [1, 2]

  • We first tested whether diverse Thanksgiving dinners were shorter than politically uniform ones with all participants included in the analysis

  • Our preregistered interpretative strategy was to estimate the effect of diversity on dinner duration by comparing the duration of dinners that were relatively diverse (Mdiversity + 1SDdiversity = .46) and dinners that were relatively uniform (Mdiversity - 1SDdiversity = .03). This analysis produced an estimate that diverse dinners were 3 minutes longer than uniform ones, a minor 1% change in the total dinner duration, 95%CI = [23 mins shorter, 30 mins longer, representing a -7 to +10% change of the total dinner time]

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Summary

Introduction

The majority of politically engaged citizens report that they feel afraid of and anger toward members of the other party. This interpartisan animosity appears to be a growing phenomenon; the percentage of partisans who reported “very unfavorable” views of the other side more than doubled in the past two decades, from ~20% in 1994 to ~55% in 2016 [3]. The rift has become so strong that it seems to be stronger than racial, religious, or ethnic tensions [4] Both sides are motivated to avoid the other side, even showing a willingness to forgo money to avoid hearing what the other side has to say [5].

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