Are ovarian reserve tests reliable in predicting ovarian response? Results from a prospective, cross-sectional, single-center analysis

Abstract

Objetive Several biomarkers of ovarian reserve have been proposed as possible predictors of the response to controlled ovarian stimulation (COS). We aimed to evaluate age, FSH, AMH, antral follicle count (AFC), and ovarian response prediction index (ORPI), as potential predictors of response to COS. Methods Cross-sectional study enrolling of 188 infertile women who underwent the first cycle of IVF/ICSI. AFC was evaluated; serum FSH and AMH levels were measured by ELISA. ORPI was calculated as AMH x AFC/patient´s age. Results As expected, hypo-responder group had less retrieved oocytes, MII, and embryos compared to the good responders. The hyper-response patients were younger, with lower FSH, increased AMH, AFC, and ORPI values. Regarding the assessment of the predictive capacity of ovarian reserve tests, none of them individually or combined showed a good predictive capacity for hypo-response. With respect to the hyper-responder group, individually AMH was the best predictor, while in the multivariable model, ORPI demonstrated the best predictive capacity. Furthermore, patients with serum AMH < 2.09 ng/mL (p25) had fewer AFC than patients with higher AMH values. Conclusions Our findings suggest that none of the ovarian reserve tests showed a good predictive capacity for hypo-response, while the ORPI was the strongest predictor of hyper-response in normovulatory infertile women.