Abstract
Especially in urban areas, a large proportion of air pollution can be attributed to road traffic. Thus, in many countries, bans are being discussed on diesel vehicles in inner cities. These diesel bans pose a severe threat to logistics service providers (LSPs) that are active in city logistics, since their fleets are based on diesel-powered vehicles. One solution for LSPs is to introduce battery-electric heavy-duty trucks (HDTs). However, this is rarely done at present, due to high investment costs of such trucks. In order to compensate these high investments, high mileages are required in order to benefit from such vehicles’ low operating costs. Implementing 24-hour delivery would increase the daily mileage of HDTs. Because of noise emission regulations, 24-hour delivery could only be performed using battery-electric HDTs. In this study, we explore whether using battery-electric HDTs for 24-hour delivery is economical for LSPs. We use data from a German LSP in food logistics, develop a system dynamics model, and integrate a total cost of ownership calculation along with an LSP and a retail store discrete choice model to determine whether 24-hour delivery with battery-electric HDTs is profitable for the LSP, and how it might be accepted and diffused among stores. We find that 24-hour delivery using battery-electric HDTs is immediately profitable. This is due to the almost 50% increase in the daily trip potential of battery-electric HDTs in comparison to diesel HDTs, which leads to a lower required total number of HDTs in the fleet. Lower transportation costs, increased delivery quality, and decreased risk lead to rapid adoption of 24-hour delivery among stores, while lower total costs of ownership (TCO) accelerate the adoption by the LSP. Diffusion through the fleet and stores takes only slightly longer than one HDT lifetime. Consequently, 24-hour delivery with battery-electric HDTs is a promising solution for innovative and sustainable city logistics.
Highlights
Air pollution causes more than 300,000 premature deaths per year in Europe [1]
We explore whether battery-electric heavy-duty trucks (HDTs) providing 24-hour delivery services could be an economic alternative to diesel HDTs in city logistics by addressing two research questions: 1
We present the development of the transportation costs of battery and diesel HDTs over time and the delivery capacity improvements due to nighttimeof battery and diesel HDTs over time and the delivery capacity improvements due to nighttime delivery
Summary
Air pollution causes more than 300,000 premature deaths per year in Europe [1]. Transportation-induced air pollution, is heavily concentrated in urban areas, posing a huge risk to the health of local residents. In order to reduce these emissions and improve human health, there are emission regulations at different legislative levels, and regulatory limits for air pollutant emissions [3]. Many cities are struggling to comply with these regulatory limits, forcing them to implement further measures. In this context, urban access regulations banning diesel-powered vehicles from inner cities are currently
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