Abstract
The paper suggests a model for verifying ways to identify scientific-technological priorities in Russia and suggests instruments for their implementation and correction. Our model for the identification of priorities is based on Russia’s socio-economic development goals, and takes into account the impact of different scientific and technological development scenarios on the implementation of models of socio-economic arrangement. Based on this logic, a group of technological priorities invariant to the wider spectrum of national economic and social goals is suggested.World economic, social, and scientific-technological trends and their Russian projections are taken as exogenous factors for choosing technological priorities. The suggested approach is based on the assumption that a new system of priorities should ensure support for implementing strategic development goals and tasks in the medium- and long term, and aims to help define these goals and tasks more accurately.As a result, the paper identifies two groups of priorities. The first group outlines the already institutionalized directions of technological development while the second group outlines directions for institutionalization in the near future. The suggested logic is illustrated through analysis of five world trends and their applications in Russia, and we highlight which technologies will be driven by these global trends.
Highlights
The issue of target setting and selecting priority science and technology (S&T) areas has been actively discussed in Russia for more than twenty years
Existing and future groups of priorities are described in terms of their influence on intra-Russian projections of global socio-economic development trends
Formation of a Russian system of technological priorities. To identify those technologies that could be justifiably developed from the perspective of the goals and objectives in national structural policy and Russian projections of global socio-economic trends, we need to start by examining existing technological priority systems
Summary
The methods used to define scientific and technological priorities can be reduced to a sequence of several recognized steps. The scenarios need to make provisions to distribute limited resources for technological development They need to take into account three key parameters: the chosen system of national goals in corresponding fields; global as well as Russian trends in the political, socio-economic spheres where there is a high degree of uncertainty; and analytical results of international and Russian experience in S&T development. These scenarios can only be built with certain assumptions regarding the dynamics of external factors that affect the S&T sphere. This paper will look at a possible algorithm for the first of the aforementioned stages
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