Abstract

Recent clinical trials have provided scientific guidelines for the treatment of ocular hypertension and primary open angle glaucoma. The developing world need to apply these trials in a sensible and cost effective manner. The number needed to treat (NNT) attempts to tailor treatment to the individual patient. The NNT for the average ocular hypertensive is 20. Those with intraocular pressure > or =26 mm Hg have an NNT of 6. Restricting treatment to those with lower central corneal thickness and or high cup disc ratios can further lower NNT and make treatment more cost effective. The NNT for the average patient with early POAG is 5. Targeting those at higher risk for progression, (bilateral POAG, higher IOP and or pseudo-exfoliation) can further reduce NNT. As far as the modality of treatment is concerned, provided quality can be ensured, collaborative initial glaucoma treatment study (CIGTS) could be interpreted to justify primary surgery in the developing world context. Population attributable risk percentage (PAR), a measure that reflects the public health importance of a disease was used to extrapolate results to the overall population. Ocular hypertension has an "effective" PAR of 8.5%, a value not considered high enough to warrant public health intervention. POAG had an "effective" PAR of 16%, perhaps high enough to be considered a public health problem and justify inclusion as a target disease in the Vision 2020 program. However the logistics and opportunity costs of diagnosis and treatment would probably prevent inclusion of POAG in public health budgets of most developing countries.

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