Abstract
This paper extends work originally reported in a previous SMJ article on strategic policy issues. To accomplish this extension, we draw on research from separate but related areas. Concepts from the application of first-order logic to organizational theory and formal methods from research in knowledge representation are combined using epistemic logic and evidential theory. It is shown that the original formulation of the policy evaluation problem fits neatly into this framework. This allows application of more formal and powerful methods for representing and evaluating the evidence offered in support of strategic policy statements. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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