Abstract

Death benefits are generally the largest cash flow items that affect the financial statements of life insurers; some may still not have a systematic process to track and monitor death claims. In this article, we explore data clustering to examine and understand how actual death claims differ from what is expected—an early stage of developing a monitoring system crucial for risk management. We extended the k-prototype clustering algorithm to draw inferences from a life insurance dataset using only the insured’s characteristics and policy information without regard to known mortality. This clustering has the feature of efficiently handling categorical, numerical, and spatial attributes. Using gap statistics, the optimal clusters obtained from the algorithm are then used to compare actual to expected death claims experience of the life insurance portfolio. Our empirical data contained observations of approximately 1.14 million policies with a total insured amount of over 650 billion dollars. For this portfolio, the algorithm produced three natural clusters, with each cluster having lower actual to expected death claims but with differing variability. The analytical results provide management a process to identify policyholders’ attributes that dominate significant mortality deviations, and thereby enhance decision making for taking necessary actions.

Highlights

  • Introduction2021-insurance-fact-book/life-health-financial-data/payouts (accessed on 3 March 2021)), the life insurance industry paid a total of nearly $76 billion as death benefits in 2019

  • Introduction and MotivationAccording to the Insurance Information Institute (https://www.iii.org/publications/2021-insurance-fact-book/life-health-financial-data/payouts), the life insurance industry paid a total of nearly $76 billion as death benefits in 2019.Life insurance is in the business of providing a benefit in the event of premature death, something that is understandably difficult to predict with certainty

  • Do life insurers pay out death claims in aggregate on a periodic basis; they are obligated to have sufficient assets set aside as reserves to fulfill this long term obligation

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Summary

Introduction

2021-insurance-fact-book/life-health-financial-data/payouts (accessed on 3 March 2021)), the life insurance industry paid a total of nearly $76 billion as death benefits in 2019. Life insurance is in the business of providing a benefit in the event of premature death, something that is understandably difficult to predict with certainty. Claims arising from mortality are not surprisingly the largest cash flow item that affects both the income statement and the balance sheet of a life insurer. Life insurance contracts are generally considered long term, where the promised benefit could be unused for an extended period of time before being realized. Do life insurers pay out death claims in aggregate on a periodic basis; they are obligated to have sufficient assets set aside as reserves to fulfill this long term obligation.

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