Application of Volume Uncertainty for Resource Classification: A Case Study on the Rondon Do Pará Bauxite Deposit, Brazil

Abstract

This study illustrates the application of conditional simulations to calculate the uncertainty associated with the thickness of bauxite ores. The bauxite deposit of Rondon do Pará in northern Pará State, Brazil, is characterized by a well-defined lateritic profile, with the ore being composed of two sequential horizons: massive bauxite and ferruginous bauxite. This study used ore thickness data from 1.005 drillholes with different grid spacing. Drillhole intervals of both types of bauxite ore were accumulated, converting the database from 3D to 2D. Sequential Gaussian simulation produced probability maps calculated from certain confidence intervals, which permits obtaining the uncertainty associated with estimates in thickness. Results show that in portions with the same regular drillhole spacing there are different ranges of uncertainty and variability, which could be useful to support resource classification, associating different confidence intervals to resource classes. This analysis could also guide the drilling program for resource conversion in order to optimize costs, indicating areas where there is greater uncertainty and would need to be densified. The incorporation of this information into the resource model could be very helpful for supporting subsequent studies of economic evaluation and risk analyses with respect to this type of deposit or similarly in mineral exploration.