Application of the Samuelson — Hicks model in the conditions of modern economy Case of Bhutan

Abstract

In modern conditions, the problem of determining the factors infl uencing such indicators of economic growth as the volume of consumption, the volume of investments in the economy, government spending and GDP can be solved by applying economic, mathematical, econometric modeling. In this article, to solve this problem of determining the key factors, it was decided to use the Samuelson — Hicks econometric model for a closed economy. This allows not only to identify the key factors that have a signifi cant impact on the development of the economy of the country under study, but also to make forecasts of such development. The article discusses the application of the Samuelson — Hicks model in modern conditions on the example of the economic indicators of Bhutan. After conducting this study, we concluded that although this model is not an ideal one for further investigation of the closed economy of Bhutan, the quality of the specifi cation of this model should be recognized as high. In this regard, the Samuelson — Hicks model can be used to make managerial decisions at the macroeconomic level. The conclusions obtained in the course of this study can be used to modernize this econometric model, as well as to make eff ective decisions to stimulate the development of a certain share of a closed economy.