Application of the LMS method of constructing fetal reference charts: comparison with the original method

Abstract

Objectives: In view of the concern expressed about the current references, new references for fetal biparietal diameter and head circumference should be constructed for contemporary local populations.Methods: We conducted a retrospective cross-sectional study in two hospitals in Guangdong, Southern China. Fetal biparietal diameter and head circumference percentiles regression were fitted using Cole’s LMS method. The BPD and HC data were then transformed into Z-scores that were calculated using two series of reference equations obtained from two methods: Cole’s LMS method and the original “mean and SD method.” Each Z-score distribution was presented as the mean and standard deviation. Finally, the sensitivity and specificity of each reference for identifying fetuses <2.5th or >97.5th percentile (based on the observed distribution of Z-scores) were calculated. The misclassified number and Youden’s index were listed.Results: A total of 17,974 biparietal diameter and 18,269 head circumference measurements were chosen to establish a reference chart. The LMS method could fit the local population better than the “mean and SD method” as it had a lower number of misclassified fetuses and a higher Youden’s index.Conclusion: The Cole’s LMS method was able to construct a satisfied reference range of fetal head sizes in Southern China.