Abstract
To improve the probability analysis efficiency of slope, this paper proposes an improved particle swarm optimization (IPSO) method to determine the critical sliding surface (CSS) and its corresponding minimum safety factor, which is used to calculate the failure probability of slope. Based on the random fields generated by using Karhunen-Loève (KL) expansion method, the simplified Bishop’s method combined with the entry and exit method, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) method, and the IPSO method is used to determine the CSS and its corresponding minimum factor of safety. Then, Monte Carlo simulation is used to estimate the failure probability of slope. The application potential of the IPSO method is demonstrated by re-analyzing two examples. Meaningful comparisons are made to demonstrate the calculating accuracy and calculating efficiency of the IPSO method in searching for the minimum safety factor of slope. Results show that the IPSO can accurately and efficiently determine the minimum safety factor in slope probability analysis considering the spatially variable soils. The IPSO method provides a promising tool for an efficient slope probability analysis.
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