Abstract
Abstract Slope stability is a critical area of research pivotal to ensuring public safety and advancing societal development. A thorough examination of slope stability holds substantial practical value in augmenting geological disaster prevention and shaping engineering economic strategies. This study develops an optimized Response Surface Methodology (RSM) model by incorporating the main effect analysis to enhance the foundational response surface method. Subsequently, to address the requirements of slope stability analysis, a numerical model calculating the stress and reliability of anti-slip piles is formulated. Building on this foundation, the Kriging model is refined using a particle swarm optimization algorithm, which is then integrated with the RSM optimization model to evaluate slope stability in geotechnical engineering applications. The efficacy of the proposed method is underscored by its performance across five-speed boundaries, where it achieves a mean reliability value of 90.40%, with a minimal average error of 0.69%. Moreover, empirical validation of the method through conditional probability calculations yields a value of 19.95%. This figure closely aligns with the results derived from the narrow-boundary method, which estimates slope system failure probabilities between 19.28% and 22.54%. Comparatively, the system failure probability determined by the Probabilistic Network Evaluation Technique (PNET) stands at 20.75%. These results affirm that the RSM-based optimization model described in this study is not only precise but also productive, establishing it as a robust method for conducting slope stability analysis in geotechnical engineering.
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