Application of ROC and PR curves in the evaluation of clinical diagnostic testing

Abstract

This study reviewed the concepts and properties of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and precision recall (PR) curve, and made suggestions on the application of two curves based on the prevalence in combination with the results of simulation data. This study demonstrated that the ROC curve and PR curve had different properties, which could reflect the performance of diagnostic methods from various aspects. These two curves should be selected with a consideration of prevalence and clinical scenarios. When the prevalence was less than 20%, especially less than 5%, the PR curve could be adopted.