Abstract
In ship and offshore operations, machinery systems have associated operational hazard because of the prevailing harsh environment. Therefore, the need for an overall evaluation of the associated risk and failures of these systems, such as the marine steam boiler, is crucial to the industry. The concept of probability risk model is used to model the failure mode considering the overall risk associated with the system as a whole. The rate of occurrence of the failure that described the basic events as represented by the fault tree was developed to model the marine steam system. This specific event was implemented and evaluated to estimate the failure frequencies of the overall systems, based on the available failure rate in core literatures. A risk model which is hazard severity weight with its failure frequencies, and the time of operation was applied in the analysis. The probability of failure of the boiler system was estimated at 0.323225 at 35,040 operating hours with hazard severity weight of catastrophic if it occurs. The associated failure frequency calculated for the period is 1.114 × 10-5. The over failure frequency of the marine steam system for the period of consideration is conditioned on the pre-defined minimum cut sets of the top event. This therefore agreed with the fact that the basic events with their failure frequencies will lead to the catastrophic failure of the entire system within the period if the maintenance plan is not proactive.
Highlights
A risk model which is hazard severity weight with its failure frequencies, and the time of operation was applied in the analysis
The process of assessing the associated failure trend in a marine steam system is crucial for every offshore operation
The model estimates the various safety levels of the failure mode by setting up severity and consequences based on the prevailing events
Summary
Marine steam systems are units that generate steam for electric power generation. S. On board ship and in process plant, steam is used for personal uses such as producing heat and hot water Marine steam system such as boilers contains two basic systems [1], such as the steam water system and the fuel air-flow gas system. For safe performance and sustainable reliability, it is necessary to ensure flow of mechanical and electrical energy, as well as heat for the sea voyage, loading function, steering and commination utilization. This greatly depend on the main power system consisting the safety of a ship power system in its real operating conditions, the technical, design and op-. This provide a novelty application of the probabilistic model in predicting failure characteristic of a marine steam system (boiler plant) which previous literatures did not provide a holistic illustration as is done in this research
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