Application of machine learning techniques to predict groundwater quality in the Nabogo Basin, Northern Ghana

Abstract

The main objective of this study was to map the quality of groundwater for domestic use in the Nabogo Basin, a sub-catchment of the White Volta Basin in Ghana, by applying machine learning techniques. The study was conducted by applying the Random Forest (RF) machine learning algorithm to predict groundwater quality, by utilizing factors that influence groundwater occurrence and quality such as Elevation, Topographical Wetness Index (TWI), Slope length (LS), Lithology, Soil type, Normalize Different Vegetation Index (NDVI), Rainfall, Aspect, Slope, Plan Curvature (PLC), Profile Curvature (PRC), Lineament density, Distance to faults, and Drainage density. The groundwater quality of the area was predicted by building a Random Forest model based on computed Arithmetic Water Quality Indices (WQI) (as dependent variable) of existing boreholes, to serve as an indicator of the groundwater quality. The predicted WQI of groundwater in the study area shows that it ranges from 9.51 to 69.99%. This implied that 21.97 %, 74.40 %, and 3.63 % of the study area had respectively the likelihood of excellent. The models were found to perform much better with an RMSE of 23.03 and an R2 value of 0.82. The study conducted highlighted an essential understanding of the groundwater quality in the study area, paving the way for further studies and policy development for groundwater management.