Application of Feature Selection Based on Multilayer GA in Stock Prediction

Abstract

This paper proposes a feature selection model based on a multilayer genetic algorithm (GA) to select the features of a high stock dividend (HSD) and eliminate the relatively redundant features in the optimal solution by using layer-by-layer information transfer and two-dimensionality reduction methods. Combining the ensemble model and time-series split cross-validation (TSCV) indicator as the fitness function solves the problem of selecting the fitness function for each layer. The symmetry character of the model is fully utilized in the two-dimensionality reduction processes, according to the change in data dimensions and the unbalanced characteristics of the HSD, setting the corresponding TSCV indicators. We built seven ensemble prediction models for actual stock trading data for comparison experiments. The results show that the feature selection model based on multilayer GA can effectively eliminate the relatively redundant features after dimensionality reduction and significantly improve the balancing accuracy, precision and AUC performance of the seven ensemble learning models. Finally, adversarial validation is used to analyze the differences in the balanced accuracy of the training and test sets caused by the inconsistent distribution of the data sets.