Abstract

The problems of the strip flatness defects are always severe in the tandem cold rolling process. It is of great significance to predict flatness for flatness control according to the process conditions of products. A prediction model based on convolutional neural network (CNN) was developed in this paper, and it can accurately predict strip flatness under various conditions. According to the distribution characteristics of industrial data collected in the rolling process, the isolated forest algorithm was used to eliminate outliers. Considering the special requirements of CNN on the dimension of input features, the data folding method was used to process the input features. Additionally, since strip flatness data is a vector rather than a scalar, and the length of this vector varies with strip width, which decreases the network's training accuracy. To deal with the problems, the loss function was modified. Taking the Inception module as the basic network structure and inspired by Wide & Deep learning, a strip flatness prediction model with high accuracy was developed. The optimal architecture and parameters of our network were determined through a lot of experimental explorations. The performances of BPNN (Back Propagation Neural Network), DNN (Deep Neural Network), and the proposed model were compared by mean square error (MSE) and coefficient of determination (R2). The result indicates that the proposed model has the highest prediction accuracy and better adaptability. It has the lowest MSE, 0.9891, and the highest R2, 0.9555. Finally, the fitting coefficients of Legendre polynomials were used to further prove the excellent prediction performance of the proposed model for strip flatness. Compared with other prediction models, it can obtain the lowest prediction error for the first quadratic and quartic components of strip flatness and it can be well-applied to tandem cold rolling production.

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