Application of Bayesian statistics in AIDS epidemic estimation

Abstract

With the prevalence of AIDS in countries around the world, the epidemic has affected more areas and more populations, and the epidemic pattern is more complicated, so the methods for estimating and predicting AIDS epidemic need to be improved continuously. The existing mathematical statistics models and computer software prediction methods of AIDS epidemic have their own advantages and disadvantages, combination and mutual corroboration of different epidemiological estimation methods can facilitate the comprehensive assessment of the AIDS epidemic. This paper summarizes the thinking, development, application and precautions of Bayesian statistics in AIDS epidemic estimation to provide reference for the further application of Bayesian statistics in AIDS epidemic estimation.