Abstract

It is crucially essential to differentially diagnose single-nodule pulmonary metastases (SNPMs) and second primary lung cancer (SPLC) in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC), which has important clinical implications for treatment strategies. In this study, we aimed to establish a feasible differential diagnosis model by combining 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron-emission tomography (18F-FDG PET) radiomics, computed tomography (CT) radiomics, and clinical features. CRC patients with SNPM or SPLC who underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT from January 2013 to July 2022 were enrolled in this retrospective study. The radiomic features were extracted by manually outlining the lesions on PET/CT images, and the radiomic modeling was realized by various screening methods and classifiers. In addition, clinical features were analyzed by univariate analysis and logistic regression (LR) analysis to be included in the combined model. Finally, the diagnostic performances of these models were illustrated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the area under the curve (AUC). We studied data from 61 patients, including 36 SNPMs and 25 SPLCs, with an average age of 65.56 ± 10.355 years. Spicule sign and ground-glass opacity (GGO) were significant independent predictors of clinical features (P = 0.012 and P < 0.001, respectively) to build the clinical model. We achieved a PET radiomic model (AUC = 0.789), a CT radiomic model (AUC = 0.818), and a PET/CT radiomic model (AUC = 0.900). The PET/CT radiomic models were combined with the clinical model, and a well-performing model was established by LR analysis (AUC = 0.940). For CRC patients, the radiomic models we developed had good performance for the differential diagnosis of SNPM and SPLC. The combination of radiomic and clinical features had better diagnostic value than a single model.

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