Abstract
Considering that in recent decades there has been a dramatic increase in the amount of industrial disasters, among which accidents on chemical facilities retain a significant place, forecasting tasks and accident consequence assessment on hazardous chemical facilities are analyzed in this paper. The task of the emergency area size determination, as well as the determination of building destruction level, and the facility personnel and public expenses. The objective of the paper is to review the existing methodologies of forecasting and create a software system for accident consequence forecasting on hazardous chemical facilities. Methodology. The analysis of different methods of damage estimation, conducted by the author, allowed for the general scheme of damage from accidents on potentially hazardous facilities estimation to be made. Furthermore, the author analyzed potential objects of chemical pollution in the Saratov region. The paper demonstrates phases of theoretical development and implementation of software program for accident consequence assessment and modeling on hazardous chemical facilities. The developed software system has a connection with Google Maps GMap.NET, which allows to visualize the obtained assessment results. Results. The result of practical implementation of the application developed by the author is an accident model for a facility, using chlorine substances, the amount of pollution measurement and territory pollution determination. Conclusion. The paper shows that the implementation of the program system developed in the work of organizations will help the heads to minimize possible losses of working personnel, public and organization financial losses.. The author notes that the application developed is free from the main disadvantages of existing programs, more specifically, the absence of the possibility to estimate the physical damage caused by the accident.
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More From: IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
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