Abstract

Cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of death in developed countries and is not entirely predicted by classic risk factors. Increased arterial stiffness is an important determinant of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. To assess whether Aortic Pulse Wave Velocity (PWV) predicts the occurrence of stroke in hypertensive patients A cohort, observational and prospective study, including 1133 hypertensive patients (586 men), with a mean age 51.05 ± 12.64 years, was designed. PWV with the Complior method was performed in all patients, as well as a detailed clinical evaluation and blood pressure measurement. The cumulative incidence of stroke in hypertensive patients with increased PWV was 3.25% (CI: 1.97% -5.25%), compared with 0.78% (CI: 0.28% -1.87%) in hypertensive patients with normal PWV (Risk Ratio (RR) =4.15; CI:1.53-11.26). In a multivariate analysis, adjusting the model to classical cardiovascular risk factors, PWV was an independent predictor of stroke, with a Hazard Ratio (HR) = 1.40 (CI:1.13-1.73, p<0.001), indicating a 40% increase in the risk of stroke per 1m/s increment in PWV. The addition of PWV to a model consisting of conventional cardiovascular risk factors significantly improved the discriminative capacity for stroke (Harrell's C increased from 0.68 to 0.71 after the inclusion of the PWV; p<0.01). Aortic PWV is a risk factor for stroke in hypertensive patients, and its integration into clinical follow-up programs in patients whose cardiovascular risk is manifest is strongly recommended.

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