Abstract

The mission policy approach to the sustainable blue economy has identified as critical the ability to anticipate the emergence of a wide range of feasible innovations as they enter the transactional environment of organizations in the marine and maritime sector. This article contributes to that growing effort by harnessing the wisdom of the crowd and presents more than 60 crowdsourced, time-specific innovation forecasts expected to impact maritime, shipbuilding, ports, offshore wind, and ocean infrastructure. Data were collected in 2020 by the EU-funded Interreg VB PERISCOPE Project, a North Sea Region initiative to catalyze transregional innovation. The results can be used strategically to develop collaborative, transregional planning and policy for innovation based on data reflecting public expectations for the future. Years from now, this article can also act as a snapshot of public expectations at the onset of the decade.

Highlights

  • The mission policy approach to the sustainable blue economy has identified as critical the ability to anticipate the emergence of a wide range of feasible innovations as they enter the transactional environment of organizations in the marine and maritime sector

  • The mission policy approach to the blue economy has identified as critical the ability to anticipate the emergence of a wide range of feasible innovations as they enter the transactional environment of organiza­ tions in the marine and maritime sector

  • The results are further broken down ac­ cording to near-term, mid-term, and long-term, based on differentiating between innovation predictions anticipated to materialize in the firsthalf of the decade from the second-half as well as innovations anticipated beyond the decade

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Summary

Introduction

The mission policy approach to the blue economy has identified as critical the ability to anticipate the emergence of a wide range of feasible innovations as they enter the transactional environment of organiza­ tions in the marine and maritime sector. According to Vascelos and Ramírez ([92]: 239), “from the point of view of the organization”, the contextual environment is “composed of the factors affecting the organization, but upon which the organization has no power or even influence.” These factors include, for example, macro trends, economic issues such as rising inflation, and new or existing legal regulations, to name but a few. The Marine Challenge Fund (2021) posited that the future of shipping innovation will be marked by the increased use of digital sensoring, the rise of larger mega-vessels, a shift toward greener ships, and the use of new energy sources in shipping These driving forces are accompanied by thought on “sustainability as [a] megatrend” ([57]: 253). This aligns with Kersten et al.’s ([43]: 11) list of top megatrends shaping global logistics: sustainable practice, innovation, and the inte­ gration of information technology and security to create an even more

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