Abstract

Most Americans are at least three generations removed from the farm, thereby at least three generations removed from the reality of where their food comes from. Not surprisingly, there are many misconceptions about modern food production, including the potential collateral environmental damage attributed to agriculture, particularly the application of pesticides. However, the implication of conventional agriculture in the broader narrative of wildlife species status outcomes (SSOs) lacks context and relativity. Since the dawn of civilization, humans have had a profound impact on their environment. Originating as hunter-gatherer societies, our ancient ancestors initially exploited anything that could be consumed or brought to bear. With the advent of the "first proto-farmers," humans began manipulating their environments to maximize available resources. Urban centers propagated and flourished proximal to agricultural origins, where modern societies have been built primarily on an abundance of food. As societies "developed," and continue to develop, an inevitable economic transition occurs from agriculture to industry/service predominance, culminating in a corresponding shift in land use. Developed countries have typically experienced maximal expansion of the agricultural frontier, where farmland is now steadily eroding by a proverbial flood of urban development. In contrast, in developing countries, this shift in economic development has not yet fully manifested and the agricultural footprint continues to expand at the expense of native habitats. Thus, the relative influence of "agriculture" on SSOs, in terms of land use, is primarily dependent on economic developmental status, which can be, at least in part, ameliorated via technology by increasing yield from existing land. Moreover, in addition to the land use challenge, there are multiple other factors affecting wildlife SSOs, including a figurative plague of invasive species, a literal plague of disease, a barrage of buildings, bumpers, grilles, and windshields to collide with, light pollution to confuse cues with, poachers to contend with, and even more complicated factors such as climate change. Being an easy target does not mean pesticides are the right target, and this fixation can potentially detract from public awareness regarding the primary drivers affecting SSOs as well as the opportunity to proactively address them. So, relatively speaking, how do these other factors compare to "pesticides" in terms of driving SSOs? Moreover, why is the popular media so fixated on the pesticide narrative? Based on the available evidence, this manuscript attempts to address these questions from a holistic and relative perspective within the context of land use change, economic development, population growth, and associated implications of global connectivity and commerce.

Highlights

  • Since the appearance of the first hominids in Africa some 4,000,000 years ago, there has, unwittingly, been a DarwinianResponsible editor: Philippe Garrigues pandemic on earth

  • Pesticides have become an easy target for litigious opportunism, and conveniently featured in the narrative of global species decline; though, we argue that this implication lacks context and empirical evidence

  • Land use change is dynamic and influenced by a complex milieu of social, political, and economic forces that vary by developmental status

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Summary

Introduction

Since the appearance of the first hominids in Africa some 4,000,000 years ago, there has, unwittingly, been a Darwinian. This manuscript attempts to address this question, focusing on vertebrates (mammals), by exploring the following areas: (1) historical land use change within the USA versus developing countries (as defined by the United Nations; UN 2019) in the context of economic developmental cycles, (2) identifying and characterizing other potential contributors to SSOs, including invasive species, disease, light pollution, and vehicular collisions, and (3) comparing the toxicity of current use pesticides with previous generations of chemistry. The authors undertook the following: (1) exploration of historical land use data for the USA (as described in Brain and Anderson 2019) and developing countries (Brazil and China as model countries) in order to characterize and compare the implications of economic developmental stage, (2) review of literature sources evaluating the impacts of invasive species and other potential factors on SSOs, and (3) comparison of the toxicity of currently registered insecticides relative to previous generations using toxicity and incident data from model mammalian species (i.e., rat, as available). The “Discussion and conclusions” section attempts to distill the information from the previous sections and offer more general conclusions regarding SSOs and the role of agriculture in context

Trends in wildlife populations
The challenge of feeding the world
Agricultural drivers
Dichlorvos Phosmet
Fenpropathrin Cyfluthrin
Light pollution
Legal hunting and poaching
Road land use and effect zones
Collision trends and statistics
Threatened and endangered species
Invasive species
Interplay between economic developmental status and invasive species
West Nile virus
Domestic meets wild
Chronology of economic development
Land use and economic development
Global trends and connectivity
Findings
Discussion and conclusions
Full Text
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