Antalya Limanı Konteyner Trafiğinin Bulanık Sinir Ağı İle Tahmini

Abstract

In recent years, a large part of general cargo of international maritime transportation has been transported by containers. For both operational cost reduction of handling time and the concerns for the safety of transported cargo, the container traffic will rapidly increase in the coming years. The small number of ports handling containers and/or inadequate capacity of such ports reduces the international competitiveness of Turkish ports in its region. Therefore, the proactive and accurate detection of future trends of port container traffic and duly preparation of revision plans have become imperative. Through this study, the future handling of Port of Antalya has been forecasted by modeling the amount of containers handled at the port with fuzzy neural network. The consistency of the forecasts obtained by the proposed method and that of other methods has been compared in the study. It is found that the proposed method results are more consistent than those of the others