Abstract

This paper examines the correlation structure of inter‐decadal precipitation variability across the UK by using a scaling analysis technique. The level of persistence displayed by the observations between different types of precipitation is remarkably constant. Comparison with synthetic long‐memory time series suggests that the behaviour of the observed precipitation is consistent with a scaling process. The Hadley Centre HadCM2 model captures some of the observed behaviour, but underestimates the degree of persistence in all precipitation intensities. The scaling analysis method is a useful diagnostic to test for climate model variability.

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