Abstract

Rainfall variability is expected to change the soil water regime thereby impacting negatively on rangeland species composition, productivity and ecosystem services. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of different intensities of rainfall reduction (RR) on vegetation annual net primary productivity (ANPP). Twenty 7 × 7 m experimental plots with different intensities of RR structures consisting of transparent acrylic bands were built on a natural grassland. The interspaces between acrylic bands varied in size to intercept different intensities of ambient rainfall (0, 15, 30 and 60%) as RR treatments, with each RR treatment replicated five times in a complete randomised block design. A fixed 1 m2 quadrat was marked at the centre of each plot and the ANPP within the quadrats was determined by harvesting the quadrant at the end of the growing season. Generally, as compared to the control (ambient rainfall intensity) the overall grass ANPP (P > 0.05) showed resilience to lower and moderate intensities of (15 and 30%) RR, but at a severe intensity of RR (60%) the ANPP was significantly reduced. Compared to the control the percentage contribution of grasses towards the overall ANPP increased at a lower intensity of RR (15%). In contrast, the percentage contribution of forbs towards the overall ANPP significantly reduced at lower intensity of RR. Within the grass species, however, those grasses that decrease when the veld is undergrazed or overgrazed (decreaser grass species) showed resilience at lower intensity (15 and 30%) of RR, while at a severe intensity of RR the ANPP of decreaser grasses were significantly reduced (1841 vs. 220 kg DM/ha). Those grasses that increase with undergrazing or overgrazing (increaser I or increaser II grass species) recorded a higher ANPP at moderate intensity of RR (30% RR) than at a higher intensity of RR, while the difference between 60% RR and 0% RR in terms of increaser grasses ANPP were not significant (P > 0.05) (650 kg DM/ha). Up to 88% reduction in ANPP were recorded for decreaser grass species at severe intensity of RR as compared to the control the corresponding reduction in ANPP noted for increaser grasses were relatively less (up to 56% reduction in ANPP at 60% RR vs. 0% RR). Generally, the overall ANPP yield of the semiarid grassland in Gauteng province showed resilience to a low intensity of RR (15% RR) and moderate intensity of RR (30% RR) partly due to a shift in the species composition of grasses from decreasers to increasers ecological groups, as well as due to a decrease and an increased contribution of forb functional groups at a lower and moderate intensity of RR, respectively.

Highlights

  • The global climate models forecast an increase in frequency and climate extremes [1]

  • Our results showed that rainfall reduction (RR) has a negative impact on the annual net primary productivity (ANPP) of common grass species in both years

  • While grass ANPP decreased with the decrease in rainfall from 2017 to 2018, that of forbs increased

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Summary

Introduction

The global climate models forecast an increase in frequency and climate extremes [1]. The focus of our study is on the meteorological drought, which occurs as a result of rainfall reduction (RR) for a prolonged period of time [4]. The forecasted global increase in land surface temperatures is expected to be between 1.1 and 6.4 ◦C by the end of the century [7] This increase in temperatures is expected to affect rainfall amount and/or patterns, which in turn will lead to more rainfall variability and the occurrence of extreme precipitation events [8]. We focused on the impact of rainfall intensity

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