Annual cycle of the Brazil‐Malvinas confluence region in the National Center for Atmospheric Research Climate System Model

Abstract

The objective of this study is to compare the mean and seasonal variability of the circulation in the southwest Atlantic with observations. The results used in the comparison are from the last 200 years of a 300 year control integration of the Climate System Model (CSM). The area of study includes the confluence region between the subtropical and subpolar waters represented by the Brazil and Malvinas Currents. The seasonal variation of transport and its relationship to changes in the wind stress forcing and in the sea surface temperature are examined and compared to available oceanographic observations. This study shows that a coarse resolution climate model, such as the CSM, can successfully reproduce major characteristics of the Brazil‐Malvinas confluence seasonally, although the mesoscale features involving recirculation and meander dynamics are not resolved. The CSM transport values in the region of 38°S are consistent with hydrographically derived values. The transport of the CSM Brazil Current is higher during austral summer and smaller during austral winter. Conversely, the Malvinas Current transport is weaker during austral summer and stronger during austral winter. This is also consistent with observations. The CSM seasonal cycle in transport associated with both the Brazil and Malvinas Currents and its meridional displacement is closely linked to the seasonal variations in the local wind stress curl. However, the displacement is much smaller in the model than in observations. The CSM results show that the latitudinal displacement of the 24°C and 17°C at the South American coast beween austral summer and winter is 20° and 12°, respectively. This is very similar to the displacement seen in observations.