Abstract

Knowledge of <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">in situ</i> stress is of great significance for hydraulic fracture stimulating of unconventional reservoirs. Quantitative estimation of <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">in situ</i> stress, especially in the far field, is a major challenge. This research mainly focuses on developing a novel Bayesian AVAZ inversion approach to estimate <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">in situ</i> stress of fractured shale-gas reservoirs with horizontal transversely isotropic (HTI) symmetry. Using the generalized Hooke’s law and Schoenberg’s linear slip model, we first deduce the anisotropic horizontal stress equation in an HTI medium formed by a single set of vertically aligned fractures embedded in an isotropic background rock. Based on the critical porosity model, we then obtain the saturated stiffness matrix with vertical effective stress-sensitive parameters and dry fracture weaknesses using the relationship between vertical effective stress and porosity. Combining the scattering function and the perturbed stiffness matrix, we deduce a linearized PP-wave reflection coefficient as a function of fluid bulk modulus, vertical effective stress-sensitive parameter, dry-rock P- and S-wave moduli, density, and fracture density. Finally, we propose a novel Bayesian amplitude variation with azimuth (AVAZ) inversion constrained by the Cauchy regularization and low-frequency regularization to estimate these model parameters, which are further used to calculate <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">in situ</i> stress. The analysis of synthetic data demonstrates that <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">in situ</i> stress can be reasonably estimated even with moderate noise. A field data set test reveals that the inversion results agree well with the well log interpretation, and the proposed approach can generate meaningful results that are useful for seismic identification of potential fracturing barriers during fracturing stimulation of shale-gas reservoirs.

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