Abstract

The giant panda was widely distributed in China and south-eastern Asia during the middle to late Pleistocene, prior to its habitat becoming rapidly reduced in the Holocene. While conservation reserves have been established and population numbers of the giant panda have recently increased, the interpretation of its genetic diversity remains controversial. Previous analyses, surprisingly, have indicated relatively high levels of genetic diversity raising issues concerning the efficiency and usefulness of reintroducing individuals from captive populations. However, due to a lack of DNA data from fossil specimens, it is unknown whether genetic diversity was even higher prior to the most recent population decline. We amplified complete cytb and 12s rRNA, partial 16s rRNA and ND1, and control region sequences from the mitochondrial genomes of two Holocene panda specimens. We estimated genetic diversity and population demography by analyzing the ancient mitochondrial DNA sequences alongside those from modern giant pandas, as well as from other members of the bear family (Ursidae). Phylogenetic analyses show that one of the ancient haplotypes is sister to all sampled modern pandas and the second ancient individual is nested among the modern haplotypes, suggesting that genetic diversity may indeed have been higher earlier during the Holocene. Bayesian skyline plot analysis supports this view and indicates a slight decline in female effective population size starting around 6000 years B.P., followed by a recovery around 2000 years ago. Therefore, while the genetic diversity of the giant panda has been affected by recent habitat contraction, it still harbors substantial genetic diversity. Moreover, while its still low population numbers require continued conservation efforts, there seem to be no immediate threats from the perspective of genetic evolutionary potential.

Highlights

  • The giant panda (Ailuropoda melanoleuca) is an iconic species for world wildlife conservation.Fossil findings indicate that the ancestors of this species probably originated in the late Miocene in the south-west of China, expanded their habitat range during the early Pleistocene, and began to contract in habitat range during the late Pleistocene [1,2,3,4]

  • Late Pleistocene European cave bears, despite covering several tens of thousands of years, showed less variance in mean substitutions across replicates, with values falling within those observed for brown bears

  • Diversity estimates for giant panda haplotypes were generally lower than observed for brown bears, always lower than observed for Late Pleistocene European cave bears, but always higher than observed for polar bears (Figure 2 and Figure S3)

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Summary

Introduction

The giant panda (Ailuropoda melanoleuca) is an iconic species for world wildlife conservation.Fossil findings indicate that the ancestors of this species probably originated in the late Miocene in the south-west of China, expanded their habitat range during the early Pleistocene, and began to contract in habitat range during the late Pleistocene [1,2,3,4]. The dramatic population reduction of this threatened species has attracted concern by conservation biologists and, together with its unique biological attributes such as its coloration or its strictly herbivorous diet (despite being a member of the order Carnivora), it has sparked the interest of evolutionary biologists and population geneticists [10,11,12,13,14,15,16] Both climate change (Quaternary glacial cycles) and human activities (habitat modification and fragmentation, and hunting) have played important roles in decreasing the genetic diversity and population size of megafauna [17,18,19,20,21,22]. Panda conservation has had a high priority in China since the

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