Analyzing the Impact of the Renewable Energy Sources on Economic Growth at the EU Level Using an ARDL Model

Mihail Busu

doi:10.3390/math8081367

Abstract

Energy is one of the most important drivers of economic growth, but as the population is increasing, in normal circumstances, in all countries of the world, there is a demand for energy produced from conventional resources. Increasing prices of conventional energy and the negative impact on the environment are two of the main reasons for switching to renewable energy sources (RESs). The aim of the paper is to quantify the impact of the RESs, by type, on the sustainable economic growth at the European Union (EU) level. The research was performed for all 28 EU member states, for a time frame from 2004 to 2017, through a panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach and causality analysis. Furthermore, Hausman test was performed on the regression model. By estimating the panel data regression model with random effects, we reveal through our results that RESs, namely wind, solar, biomass, geothermal, and hydropower energy, have a positive influence on economic growth at EU level. Moreover, biomass has the highest impact on economic growth among all RES. In fact, a 1% increase in biomass primary production would impact the economic growth by 0.15%. Based on econometric analysis, our findings suggest that public policies at the EU level should be focused on investment in RESs.

Highlights

Energy is one of the most important drivers of sustainable economic growth [1], but the population growth all over the world is leading to increasing consumption of conventional energy, such as coal, natural gas, and oil
We can see that these values are close, meaning that the variables in the econometric model are following the normal distribution
The main problem is that conventional energy causes substantial water and land pollution, and it is responsible for global warming

Summary

Introduction

Energy is one of the most important drivers of sustainable economic growth [1], but the population growth all over the world is leading to increasing consumption of conventional energy, such as coal, natural gas, and oil. The dependence on conventional energy will end up, eventually, with environmental degradation [4]. It is estimated [5] that there will be a 48% increase of energy consumption all over the world by 2040. Renewable energy sources (RESs) are the substitutes for conventional energy, as their use is producing less harm to the environment. The key for solving weather modifications and ecological disasters, as well as economic and social crises, which affect all countries, is sustainable economic growth [11]

Objectives

Methods

Results

Conclusion