Abstract
Though many studies have proposed many types of models for drones, there is a lack of understanding of the current and future limits of drone technologies for deliveries. This research fills this gap by using first principles and optimization to understand future capabilities of drones that can perform vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL). Range and optimal battery and payload formulas are derived and insights are discussed. The results show that substantial range and payload gains could be expected in the near future as a result of improvements in battery technology and drone design. The analysis also indicates that hybrid designs are likely to have a higher impact in rural areas, where major gains in range and payload are expected. The regulatory framework is also going to have a significant role in the real-world performance of delivery drones.
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