Abstract

Information and communication technology (ICT) plays an important role in critical infrastructures (CIs). Some ICT-based services are in itself critical for the functioning of society while other ICT elements are essential for the functioning of critical processes within CIs. Moreover, many critical processes within CIs are monitored and controlled by industrial control systems (ICS) also referred to as operational technology (OT). In line with the CI-concept, the concept of critical information infrastructure (CII) is introduced comprising both ICT and OT. It is shown that CIIs extend beyond the classical set of CIs. The risk to society due to inadvertent and deliberate CI/CII disruptions has increased due to the interrelation, complexity, and dependencies of CIs and CIIs. The cyber risk due to threats to and vulnerabilities of ICT and OT is outlined. Methods to analyze the cyber risk to CI and CII are discussed at both the organization, national, and the service chain levels. Cyber threats, threat actors, and the organizational, personnel, and technological cyber security challenges are outlined. An outlook is given to near future cyber security risk challenges, and therefore upcoming risk, stemming from (industrial) internet of things and other new cyber-embedded technologies.

Highlights

  • This chapter ‘Analyzing the Cyber Risk in Critical Infrastructures’ discusses the concepts of critical infrastructure (CI) and critical information infrastructure (CII), highlights the need for addressing the cyber risk to critical infrastructures (CIs)/CII, discusses methods and challenges in assessing the cybersecurity risk for CI/CII, and highlights upcoming cyber risk

  • Vulnerabilities in commonly used Information and communication technology (ICT)- or operational technology (OT)-applications and systems being the source of a common cause failure, e.g. a common vulnerability in a popular application may lead to vulnerabilities in many organizations simultaneously, see e.g. the Dutch national cyber security centre (NCSC) warning for a Citrix vulnerability [19]

  • When CI/CII operators are dependent on ICT and OT suppliers, system integrators, and third-party maintenance companies, they should have contractual agreements and measures in place to ensure that the resilience is up to par with the security requirements of the CI/CII organization

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Summary

Introduction

This chapter ‘Analyzing the Cyber Risk in Critical Infrastructures’ discusses the concepts of critical infrastructure (CI) and critical information infrastructure (CII), highlights the need for addressing the cyber risk to CI/CII, discusses methods and challenges in assessing the cybersecurity risk for CI/CII, and highlights upcoming cyber risk. This chapter brings together views on what comprises CII in the light of technological and societal developments, and how to analyze the cyber risk of CI and CII given the complexity of CI sector structures, dependencies, and service chains.

What is CI and how does that relate to CII?
Identifying CIIs
Why considering the cyber related risk to CI and CII?
CI, CII and risk analysis
Assessment of cyber risk by a single CI operator
Assessment of the cyber risk across organizations
Challenges to assess ICT/OT risk across organizations
OT threats and vulnerabilities
Assessing the assurance of equipment and applications
Assessing the risk for the OT environment
Challenges to assess the cyber risk across CI/CII chains
Trends and developments in CIIP
Laws and regulations
Findings
Conclusions
Full Text
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