Abstract

Urbanism is effective science in order to reduction damages while accruing disaster. Indeed, urbanism is important in term of natural crisis due to have key role in physical development process. Today one of the most important issues in Tehran metropolis is shortage of usable open spaces in crisis conditions because there is proportion between built spaces, building density and usable open spaces in crisis conditions. It is clearly that could be used from open spaces in crisis conditions as relief base and temporary accommodation. The main issue in order to studying in dynamic systems is reduction process of urban open spaces with usable in crisis conditions. So in this research have been defined new mechanisms and policies in order to modification of destructive mechanism by studying of effective mechanisms and identifying cause-effect structure. In this study, at first was determined system boundary and effective endogenous and exogenous variables. Then, was studied reference variable behavior. After that were determined dynamic assumptions and was prepared conceptual model and cause-effect diagrams. At finally, modeling was performed by definition of parameters and structuring of dynamic theories in “Vensim PLE” Software for 20 years periods. The obtained model was tested in extreme conditions.Analyzing of reduction process of urban open spaces in process of cities development in Tehran metropolis is the purpose of this research. The research method is analysis – descriptive. Also data collected is documents – field. The results show that will be controlled reduction process of urban open spaces with usable in crisis conditions in Tehran metropolis by modification of destructive mechanisms also using policies that associated with key variables.

Highlights

  • 1.1 Introduce the ProblemUrban open spaces are one of the importance Infrastructure that could be used them in process of crisis management as effective and efficient spaces in order to reduce the damage of disaster

  • The results show that will be controlled reduction process of urban open spaces with usable in crisis conditions in Tehran metropolis by modification of destructive mechanisms using policies that associated with key variables

  • Some policies is proposed in order to correction destructive mechanisms and controlling of reduction of reference variable after reviewing the existing conditions and identifying effective mechanisms in creating crisis conditions according to cause-effect graph

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Summary

Introduce the Problem

Urban open spaces are one of the importance Infrastructure that could be used them in process of crisis management as effective and efficient spaces in order to reduce the damage of disaster (earthquake, volcano, flood, etc.). We can use these spaces, while happening crisis as relief base; we use them as temporary accommodations. The reduction of green, open, sport spaces could be studied during in 40 years ago in Tehran In this period there are urban development plans but these natural potencies and advocacy tools damage more than other times. According to status quo studies of Tehran comprehensive plan, totally the area of green space is 4463 acre in 1986 This land use has been distributed imbalance in city. It is necessary that is predicted these open spaces to preventing reduce these spaces, creating balance in order to improving quality of urban environment and preparation for possible crisis (Figures 1 & 2)

Method
Considered Time Period
Reference Variable Behavior
Structuring Dynamic Variable
Conceptual Graph
Determines Structure and Modeling Rules
Results
Full Text
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