Analytically Based Approach to Rutting Prediction

Abstract

An analytically based (mechanistic-empirical) procedure was conducted to estimate the development of rutting in asphalt pavements as a function of both traffic loading and environment as defined by pavement temperatures. The procedure uses permanent strain determined for a representative asphalt concrete mix as a function of load repetitions, shear stress, and elastic shear strain. It combines multilayer elastic analysis for determining key shear stresses and strains in the asphalt concrete resulting from traffic loading to be used in the permanent strain expression with a time-hardening procedure for the accumulation of permanent strain as a function of both traffic loading and environment. The WesTrack test sections were used to calibrate the methodology, with results of rutting predictions evaluated for four different test sections from that experiment. Based on the results of the regression analyses, an expression can be used to determine coefficients for use in the permanent strain expression that reflect the permanent deformation characteristics of a specific mix as measured in repeated simple shear test at constant height. In addition to the WesTrack examples, results illustrated the use of the approach to predict rutting development in a controlled loading condition at 50°C (122°F) using the heavy vehicle simulator.