Abstract
Currently, the Russian Federation has a difficult economic situation on the meat market. The problems affecting the effective development of this market were especially aggravated in the context of the new coronavirus infection pandemic, and directly affected the food security of the Russian Federation. The authors of the article reviewed the meat products market at the turn of 2019 - 2020, and also presented two options for its development for the medium term - basic and crisis ones. In addition, barriers to the export of meat products to the world market have been identified and directions for their early overcoming have been proposed. The results obtained in the course of this study not only provide an answer to the question about the role of external interventions in the economy of the state, but may become the basis for thinking about the importance of careful planning of long-term studies to assess difficult-to-predict risks, such as a new coronavirus infection, in terms of concerning the food security of the state.
Highlights
A difficult situation has developed on the Russian meat market
Leading experts forecast an increase in meat production in Russia in the medium term, despite the tendencies for the devaluation of the Russian ruble and a decrease in the level of income among the population
The second and third waves of new coronavirus infection are expected in Russia
Summary
A difficult situation has developed on the Russian meat market. Leading experts forecast an increase in meat production in Russia in the medium term, despite the tendencies for the devaluation of the Russian ruble and a decrease in the level of income among the population. The second and third waves of new coronavirus infection are expected in Russia These events will entail a decrease in the gross domestic product of Russia at the end of 2020 to 56%, and a drop in the total income of the population is predicted on average by 10% [1]. Expectations were confirmed, the second wave of a new coronavirus infection in Russia began in the 4th quarter of 2020 and may last until mid-2021 [2] With such a development of events, the volume of the Russian gross domestic product will decline by 6-8%. Regardless of one or another variant of the development of the Russian market of meat products, it is necessary to envisage that there will be a gradual decrease in the number of small and medium-sized companies due to their bankruptcy or absorption by stronger companies
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