Analytical Approaches to Uncover Genetic Associations for Rare Outcomes: Lessons from West Nile Neuroinvasive Disease.

Abstract

West Nile viral infection causes severe neuroinvasive disease in less than 1% of infected humans. There are no targeted therapeutics for this serious and potentially fatal disease, and to date no vaccine has been approved for humans. With climate change expected to result in rising incidence of West Nile and other related vector-borne viral infections, there is an increasing need to identify those at risk for serious disease and potential leads for therapeutic and vaccine development. Genetic variation, particularly in genes whose products are either directly or indirectly connected to immune response to infections, is a critical avenue of investigation to identify those at higher risk of clinically apparent West Nile infection. Given the small percent of infections that progress to severe disease and the relatively low numbers of reported infections, it is challenging to conduct well-powered studies to identify genetic factors associated with more severe outcomes. In this chapter, we outline several approaches with the objective to take full advantage of all available data in order to identify genetic factors which lead to increased risk of severe West Nile neuroinvasive disease. These methods are generalizable to other conditions with limited cohort size and rare outcomes.