Analysis survival of screening and non-screening patients of esophageal cancer in Linzhou city

Abstract

Objective: To evaluate effect of screening of esophageal cancer though comparing difference of survival level between screening and non-screening patients in Linzhou city. Methods: The records pathologically diagnosed as serious hyperplasia/carcinoma and esophageal cancer were drawn from database of first round screening in Linzhou city from 2005-2013 and were assigned to the screening group. The records of new esophageal cancer cases which diagnosed within 2 years before, screening from the same village aged from 40 to 69, were drawn from database of cancer registry in Linzhou city and were assigned to the non-screening group. Five or 10 year survival rate with 95%CI of patients with different malignant degree diseases in the screening group and the patients with esophageal cancer in the non-screening group was calculated respectively. The survival curves between the screening and non-screening group were compared by Log rank method. Results: All 26 908 persons were examined in first round screening in Linzhou city from 2005 to 2013. There were 374 persons with serious hyperplasia/carcinoma in situ, 157 persons with esophageal cancer (141 intramucosal carcinomas/submucosal cancers, 16 invasive cancers). The 5 year survival rate of serious hyperplasia/carcinoma, intramucosal carcinoma/submucosal cancer and invasive cancer were 95.0% (95%CI: 91.7%-97.0%) , 72.0% (95%CI: 62.7%-79.3%) and 41.7% (95%CI: 17.4%-64.6%) separately. The 5 year survival rate of esophageal cancer in screening and non-screening group were 68.7% (95%CI:59.9%-75.9%) and 40.8% (95%CI: 36.4%-45.2%). The 10 year survival rate of esophageal cancer in screening and non-screening group were 58.0% (95% CI: 44.6%-69.3%) and 34.3% (95% CI:29.1%-39.5%). The 5 or 10 year survival rate of esophageal cancer in the screening group were higher than that in the non-screening group in whatever sex or age. The survival distribution of the screening group was better than non-screening group (χ(2)=38.88, P<0.001). Conclusion: More precancerous lesions and early esophageal cancer can be detected and patients' survival level was improved through organized esophageal cancer screening, which provided support to evaluate value of organized screening.