Abstract

This paper used vector auto-regressive model to predict the change trend of Chinese energy constraint from 2013 to 2020 under different scenes, and finally pointing out to remove the constraint the following measures could be taken: changing investment dependent and export-led economic growth mode, and promoting strategic adjustment of industrial structure; strengthening the advanced energy technology research and industrialization, and making low consumption competitiveness; Perfecting energy market, and actively promoting the reform of energy prices.

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