Abstract
A carbon emission reduction potential model based on technology diffusion and structural adjustment has been proposed in the cement industry. Take 2005 as the base period, the total demand and consumption structure for the planning year is predicted according to the industry growth and the urbanization rate. Based on the comprehensive analysis of energy consumption in all aspects of the production process in the cement industry, and considering the effects and trends of the technological progress and technology diffusion on carbon emissions, this article evaluates the carbon reduction potential and take Chongqing for example to predict its total carbon emission and carbon reduction potential in the year 2020.
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