Analysis of Traffic Characteristics in Beijing --Based on the Traffic Performance Index

Abstract

This study aims to deal with the increasingly serious urban traffic congestion problem, taking Beijing as a case study. With the increase in population, traffic congestion has become a serious problem affecting peoples life quality and social and economic development. This study uses the time series analysis and uses the ARIMA (1,0,0) (0,1,1)12 model to forecast the traffic performance index (TPI) data of the past ten years, and deeply analyzes the traffic congestion situation of the next twelve months. The results show that this model can capture the seasonal trend of traffic congestion well, and provide strong decision support for traffic management departments. Through the interpretation and analysis of the forecast, this study gives a series of traffic management suggestions for different months to achieve the alleviation and optimization of urban traffic congestion. In conclusion, this study provides a useful reference for urban traffic management and planning and contributes to the construction of a more efficient, convenient, and sustainable urban transportation system.