Analysis of the spatio-temporal variability and convergence of green development efficiency of city clusters in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River in China

Abstract

The advantageous geographical location of the middle reaches of the Yangtze River (YRMR) plays an important role in promoting high-quality development in China and accelerating the development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt(YREB). In the new stage of development, green development efficiency (GDE) is an important metric for assessing the balance between economic development and ecological civilization. Therefore, taking three city clusters in China's YRMR as the study area, this research employs the Super-SBM model to assess their GDE in 2010–2020 in order to analyze the problem of GDE at the city scale. On this basis, spatio-temporal analyses, dynamic evolution, and convergence analyses have been carried out using the Thiel index, GML index model, and convergence model. The findings indicate that overall GDE has not yet reached an effective level and generally exhibits a two-stage fluctuating upward trend. Spatially, the pattern of distribution is "high in the southwest, low in the northeast". The differences within the city clusters in the YRMR in terms of green development are gradually narrowing, with differences within the same regions contributing the most to overall differences. The GML index shows a trend of fluctuating growth, indicating that the overall GDE growth is in good condition. GDE has grown significantly as a result of technological advancements, with the Wuhan metropolitan area (cluster A) experiencing the fastest growth in this regard, followed by the Chang-Zhu-Tan and the Poyang Lake rim city clusters (clusters B and C). The YRMR and its three major city clusters exhibit both σ- and β-convergence patterns. The convergence of GDE is simultaneously affected by several factors, including economic development (RGDP), urbanization level (UR), industrial structure (IND), technological development (TEC), and the level of openness (LO). Regional heterogeneity also exists. The above study provides decision-making references and empirical evidence for promoting green development in China's city clusters in the YRMR and advancing the improvement of economic-environmental incongruence in this area.