Abstract
Abstract. Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome(HFRS) is a worldwide fulminant infectious disease. Since the first HFRS cases in Hubei Province were reported in 1957, the disease has spread across the province and Hubei has become one of seriously affected areas in China. However, the epidemic characteristics of HFRS are still not entirely clear. Therefore, a systematic investigation of spatial and temporal distribution pattern of HFRS system is needed. In order to facilitate better prevention and control of HFRS in Hubei Province, in this paper, a GIS spatiotemporal analysis and modeling tool was developed to analyze the spatiotemporal dynamics of the HFRS epidemic, as well as providinga comprehensive examination the dynamic pattern of HFRS in Hubei over the past 30 years (1980-2009), to determine spatiotemporal change trends and the causes of HFRS. This paper describes the experiments and their results.
Highlights
Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome(HFRS) is a worldwide fulminant infectious disease
With the help of GIS spatio-temporal analysis and modeling tools we developed, we describe the spatiotemporal distribution and seasonal patterns of HFRS in Hubei Province over a 30-year epidemic period (1980–2009)
HFRS incidence has become highly sporadic in recent years
Summary
Hubei Province, is an area that has been severely affected by HFRS for a number of years. The literature has reported and studied HRFS issues in China, little work has focused on the spatiotemporal distribution and spread patterns of HFRS in China systematically over a long time span This current study was designed to use GIS spatial analysis and modeling technologies to investigate the spatiotemporal distribution and spread pattern of HFRS in Hubei Province, China over the past 30 years (1980-2009), and to determine the possible causes. Hubei county-level vector topographic maps(scale = 1:4,000,000), including the 76 study counties and cities, were used to conduct a GIS-based analysis on the spatial distribution of HFRS These GIS data were obtained from National Geomatics Center of China(NGCC) Demographic data and other statistical data: Population analyses for the periods 1990–1999 and 2000–2009 were based on census records from 1995 and 2000, respectively. These GIS data were obtained from National Geomatics Center of China(NGCC) Demographic data and other statistical data: Population analyses for the periods 1990–1999 and 2000–2009 were based on census records from 1995 and 2000, respectively. obtained from the Hubei Statistics Bureau
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