Abstract

Vehicle speed consistency plays a crucial role in maintaining traffic safety, with speed limits set to reduce accident fatalities. While the direct impact of speed limits on vehicle speed is minimal, their implementation significantly influences driver behavior, with about 85% of drivers complying with speed limits. However, variables such as traffic volume, weather conditions, and travel urgency often cause drivers to be inconsistent in adhering to these limits, increasing accident risk. On the Mojokerto-Surabaya toll road, data from IRSMS Korlantas Polri and Jasa Marga recorded 193 accidents with 101 fatalities from 2018 to August 2023, mostly caused by driver behavior such as excessive speed. This study analyzes the relationship between speed consistency and accident probability on this road, highlighting accident issues due to speed violations and inconsistency at ramp off/on locations. Results show the importance of toll road infrastructure considering vehicle volume, identifying accident blackspots, and implementing urgent speed management as key factors in improving safety on the Surabaya-Mojokerto toll road. The findings emphasize the need for better traffic management and speed regulation to reduce fatal accident risks.

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