Abstract
From ancient to modern times, in the historical process of urban development, urban transportation has been developing along with the development of the city's political, economic and cultural industries, and the relationship between each other has always been a topic constantly discussed by planning scholars. The development of urban transportation promotes the urban population gathering and industrial development, and promotes the development of urban geographical space. At the same time, it also brings endless convenience to urban residents, so that they can complete the displacement from the beginning to the destination with relatively low cost. However, with the rapid development of urban scale and the rapid growth of urban population, the problems of traffic congestion and land resource shortage in big cities of China seriously restrict the improvement of the quality of life of residents and the further development of the city. In this context, compact city is the inevitable choice for future urban development, while the transportation system supporting compact city form can only be public transportation. As a high-volume, efficient and rapid public transport mode, rail transit can not only solve the traffic congestion problem in high-density areas of cities, but also optimize the development and utilization of urban land and adjust the urban spatial layout, which is of great significance for the sustainable development of cities. The network of rail transit in Beijing becomes the backbone of public passenger transport system, and play an irreplaceable role in guiding the urban space layout adjustment, population migration and the transformation of traffic structure. The study of travel characteristics of the residents who live along the rail transit, in-depth analysis the relationship of the rail transit, the population migration and commuter travel, it is of great significance providing decision support for urban planning. Based on binary choice model, establishing the residents' travel choice model, rail transit impact model of different crowds. Study the relationship between rail transit and residents' travel characteristics, predict the rail transit to guide the trend of population migration.
Highlights
With the development of urbanization, the urban space and the urban population are expanding rapidly
Based on the binary choice model, this paper establishes the model of the choice of the residents' rail transit, and analyzes whether the residents choose the rail transit
The establishment and development of the public transport system of rail transit will inevitably have an important influence on the structure of urban traffic
Summary
With the development of urbanization, the urban space and the urban population are expanding rapidly. The resources of the facilities along the rail transit cannot be fully utilized, the pressure on urban traffic caused by work travel has not been alleviated effectively as well, these will seriously affect the sustainable development of Beijing. Through the quantitative analysis method and the model construction, expect the quantitative analysis method with big data opening as prospect can be support tools for planning prediction and rational decision making, make the affinity of people's daily travel and activities become important principles and the basis for building sustainable cities. This model mainly studies the influence of objective conditions and subjective conditions on residents' choice of rail transit. Because the model is explained in the variable is a binary choice, namely whether people choose rail transit travel, so set the binary choice model, because people often choose the way to travel is for the sake of utility maximization angle, so use the binary Logit choice model of binary choice model
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