Analysis of production and financial potential as a basis for developing a strategy for modernizing the Russian economy

Abstract

The article is devoted to an assessment of the potential for modernization of the Russian economy in the face of external challenges that make it difficult for domestic companies to access international financial markets and technologies. The relevance of the study is due to the need to search for own resources for the required large-scale modernization. The purpose of the study is to assess the production and financial potential in the modernization process. This goal predetermines the solution of such problems as analysis of the current state of the production base, assessment of financial resources for the production upgrade, identification of opportunities and risks in the implementation of modernization processes. In this connection, the authors focus on analyzing the factors constraining modernization processes, such as: a low level of capital accumulation, inadequate development of the financial services market, and uneven spatial accessibility of credit institutions.The methodological apparatus for analyzing the production and financial potential is based on the allocation of basic non-financial sectors of the economy and the financial market, using the methods of detailing, grouping, vertical and horizontal analysis, comparison and synthesis. In addition, graphical analysis is used. The empirical basis of the study was the statistical indicators of the Federal State Statistics Service for the branches of the economy and the data of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation on the state of the banking sector. The theoretical basis was the works of well-known scientists, dedicated to the issues of re-industrialization and the development of strategic priorities for innovative modernization of the Russian economy.The article compares the dynamics of investment in fixed assets with the rate of increase in depreciation of production assets, analyzes the sources of financing investment activities in the part of updating production systems, and assesses the methods of state regulation of the banking sector as one of the main external suppliers of investment resources in non-financial sectors of the economy. The quality of regulation of financial market institutions is assessed from the standpoint of its diversification and ensuring greater accessibility to the borrowed capital of not only business but also the population.Based on the results of the analysis, factors that limit the scope for large-scale structural modernization of the economy are identified. It is revealed that the pace of renewal of fixed capital is insufficient and does not contribute to reducing the wear and tear of production assets in the basic sectors of the Russian economy. The availability of borrowed capital for the modernization of production systems is differentiated in a spatial aspect. The functioning institutions of the financial market also do not ensure equal access to credit resources for small and medium-sized businesses.The scientific novelty of this study is that the authors identified the main problems of the process of modernization and implementation of innovative developments in the context of high levels of depreciation of production systems and inadequate investment resources. In addition, worthy of attention is the conclusion that the structure of the financial services market is inadequate for the scale of structural modernization and it needs to be diversified. The results of the research can find practical application in the development of modernization strategies in the leading sectors of the economy.