Analysis of power dispatching decisions with energy storage systems using the optimal probability distribution model of renewable energy

Abstract

Effectively managing the inherent unpredictability and fluctuation attributes of renewable energy sources within scheduling systems has emerged as a critical matter demanding immediate attention. The incorporation of energy storage technology offers notable advantages by mitigating fluctuations in wind power generation and curtailing peak shaving costs in scheduling systems through economical utilization of energy storage. This study employs the adjustment of energy storage’s reserve capacity function to modify the economic gains and losses arising from fixed spinning reserve. This approach tailors the reserve capacity function by formulating the uncertainty inherent in wind power generation. The paper presents an enhanced selection method for calculating optimal bandwidth within the framework of least squares approximation probability density function scenarios. The fusion of least squares approximation and optimal bandwidth computation permits precise refinement of bandwidth in non-parametric kernel density estimation approaches. Consequently, the study puts forth a comprehensive model for coordinated scheduling and regulation of a multi-scale energy storage power system. Finally, the stability and economy of the proposed method in the scheduling operation process were verified through simulation, and the research results can provide a theoretical basis for future uncertain wind power scheduling.