Analysis of liver cancer screening results and influencing factors of urban residents in Zhejiang Province from 2013 to 2018

Abstract

Objective: To analyze the results of liver cancer screening for urban residents in Zhejiang Province from 2013 to 2018 and explore the influencing factors of the detection rate. Methods: From September 2013 to August 2019, six urban communities in Hangzhou (Jianggan District and Gongshu District), Ningbo (Haishu District, Yinzhou District and Jiangbei District), and Quzhou (Kecheng District) were selected as study sites. All permanent residents aged 40-74 (with local household registration and living in the local area for more than 3 years) were selected as the research subjects by using cluster sampling method. Patients with confirmed cancers and other serious medical and surgical diseases were excluded. A total of 166 293 research subjects were included. Basic demographic characteristics and risk factors of subjects were obtained through questionnaire surveys. The cancer risk assessment system was used to evaluate the liver cancer risk of subjects. Clinical screening participation and screening results for subjects at high risk of liver cancer were obtained from participating hospitals. The high-risk rate of liver cancer, clinical screening rate, detection rate of positive lesions, and detection rate of suspected liver cancer were analyzed. Poisson regression was used to analyze the influencing factors of detection rate. Results: The age of 166 293 subjects was (56.01±8.40) years, of which 41.36% (68 777) were males. A total of 23 765 high-risk subjects for liver cancer were screened (the high-risk rate was 14.29%). Among them, a total of 12 375 subjects participated in clinical screening for liver cancer, with a screening rate of 52.07% (12 375/23 765). A total of 297 cases of positive lesions were detected and the detection rate was 2.40% (297/12 375). A total of 8 cases of suspected liver cancer were detected, with a detection rate of 0.06% (8/12 375). The results of multivariate Poisson regression model analysis showed that compared with men, people who never smoked, never ate pickled food, had low oil content, and had no history of hepatobiliary disease, female, people who were smoking or had smoked, sometimes ate pickled food, ate higher oil content, and had a history of hepatobiliary disease had a higher detection rate of positive lesions. The incidence rate ratio (IRR) (95%CI) values were 1.98 (1.45-2.70), 2.23 (1.61-3.09)/2.08 (1.31-3.28), 1.82 (1.22-2.70), 1.44 (1.08-1.91), and 1.45 (1.05-2.00), respectively. Compared with those aged from 40 to 49 years old and without HBsAg test, the IRR (95%CI) of suspected liver cancer in people aged 70 to 74 years old and HBsAg positive were 16.30 (1.32-200.74) and 6.43 (1.24-33.22), respectively. Conclusion: The urban cancer early diagnosis and early treatment project in Zhejiang Province has good compliance in clinical screening of liver cancer. Abdominal ultrasound examination and serum alpha-fetoprotein detection are helpful to detect liver cancer and its precancerous lesions in the high-risk population of liver cancer.