Analysis of Leptospirosis transmission dynamics with environmental effects and bifurcation using fractional-order derivative

Abstract

Mathematical formulations are essential tool to show the dynamics that how various diseases spread in the community. Differential equations with fractional or integer order can be utilized to see the effect of the dynamics direct or indirect Leptospirosis transmission, which are analyzed with different aspects. A mathematical description and dynamical sketch of Leptospirosis with environmental effects have been studied as a result of the successful efforts of various writers. In this study, we analyzed the Leptospirosis model described using a nonlinear fractional-order differential equation that takes the environmental effects into consideration. The proposed fractional order system is investigated qualitatively as well as quantitatively to identify its stable position. Local stability of the Leptospirosis system is verified and test the system with flip bifurcation. Also system is investigated for global stability using Lyapunov first and second derivative functions. The existence, boundedness and positivity of the Leptospirosis is checked, which are the key properties for such of type of epidemic problem to identify reliable findings. Effect of global derivative is demonstrated to verify its rate of effects according to their sub-compartments. Solutions for fractional order system are derived with the help of advanced tool fractal fractional operator for different fractional values. Simulation are carried out to see symptomatic as well as a asymptomatic effects of Leptospirosis in the world wide, also show the actual behavior of Leptospirosis which will be helpful to understand the outbreak of Leptospirosis with environmental effects as well as for future prediction and control strategies.